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硕士论文--不完全汇率传导理论在中国的应用——人民币汇率传导效(2)

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导读: Thefirstchapterisanintroduction.Itisundoubtedthatexchangeratefluctuationswillaffectpricesandcausedi

Thefirstchapterisanintroduction.Itisundoubtedthatexchangeratefluctuationswillaffectpricesandcausedifferentpriceindicestochangecorrespondentlytodifferentextents.However,whethertheexchangeratepass-througheffectiscompleteorincompleteisindeterminate.Tograspthepass-througheffects,thedeterminantfactorsandfuturemovementshasimportanteconomicandpolicyimplicationsforthecentralbankwhichisresponsibletocontrolexchangeratesandtakeappropriatemonetarypoliciestooffsetthedisturbationofexchangeratefluctuationsonpricesstability.Thisarticleaimstopindownthe4

硕士论文

山东大学博士学位论文

pass—throughmechanismandeffectsofRMBexchangeratesondifferentpriceindicesandtheirdeterminants.So,thispartintroducestheconceptsandmechanismsofexchangeratepassthroughandtheoriesonincompleteexchangeratepassthrough.Afterpointingouttheshortagesanddisadvantagesindomesticrelevantresearch,thispaperproposestheinnovationsinthisarticle.

Chaptertwoisasummationonrelevantresearch.ResearchinterestsinexchangeratepassthroughoriginatedfromtheexplanationfortheinvalidityofPPPtheoryin1960sand1970s.From1980sthedirectionofresearchonexchangeratepassthroughturnedtoindustrialorganization,marketsegmentationandproductdifferentiation.In1990smanyindustrialcountriesexperiencedgreatdepreciationsofcurrencies,howevertheireconomicperformancesshowedthattheexchangeratepassthroughWasindecline.Thisphenomenonpromotedtheeconomiststostudythestabilityofexchangeratepassthroughandthereasonsforthewideandpersistentdeclineintheexchangeratepassthroughinthesecountries.Recentresearchfocusedontherelationshipbetweenexchangeratepassthroughandthevalidityofmacroeconomicpolicies,andrelatedtheexchangemkpassthroughtothechoiceofoptimalmonetarypolicyandexchangerateregime.Agreatamountofempiricalresearchonexchangeratepassthroughsuggestedthepassthroughofexchangeratestobothimportpriceandothergeneralpriceswe旭incomplete,howeverthepassthrougheffecttoimportpriceWaslargerthanthattoothergeneralpriceindices.Economiststriedtoexplaintheseconclusionsfrommicroandmacroaspects.Finanllythischapermadeaco衄entondomesfcrelevantresearchandpointedouttheresearchfocusandinnovationsinthisarticle.

ChapterthreepresentstheoreticalandempiricalresearchonRMBexchangeratepassthroughtoimportprices.nispartfirstanalyzestheeffectofchangeinRMBexchangerateondometicimportpricesbyvirtureofgraphicalanalysisandmathematicaldeduction.Theneconometricmodelsareemployedtofurtherstudythepass—througheffectofRMBexchangeratetothegeneralimportpriceindexandsub-groupimportpricesbyusingrelevantquarterlydatafromJanuary2000toMarch2007.Theempiricaltestsrevealthatthepass—througheffectsofRMBnominaleffectiveexchangeratetothegeneralimportpricearelargerthanonebothinshorttermandinlongterm,whichindicatesthattheexportsabroadoverreacttothefluctuationsinRMBexchangerates.Thereactionsofsub—groupimportindicestoexchangerateflucmatiomhavesignificantdifferences.neimportpricesoffood,S

硕士论文

山东大学博士学位论文

wheatandsugar

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